2012 Silk Industry Downturn, Facing The Former Low And The High

Hailstorms, thunderstorms and cloudy clouds are Nanning's most recent portrayal of changeable weather. It is also as unpredictable as the annual cocoon silk trading market. Last year, the ups and downs of cocoon prices seemed to keep the silkworms and merchants worried.

In order to better grasp the operation trend of the industry and promote the stable development of China's cocoon and silk industry, in May 13th, it was hosted by the China Silk Association, the Guangxi Cocoon Silk Association and the Guangxi bulk silk exchange market in 2012. Cocoon silk Symposium on production and marketing situation was held in Nanning, Guangxi. The meeting focused on the market judgement, situation analysis, industry development direction and other topics. Through discussion and analysis, a number of industry experts predict that China's silk industry in 2012 will show a trend of "low before and after high".

Li Wanfu, deputy director of the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region industrial and Information Committee, Yang Yongyuan, President of China Silk Association, vice chairman of the China Silk Association, Cai Gaosheng, former chairman of Sichuan silk group, Chen Xiangping, vice president of Sichuan Silk Association, Tang Lin, general manager of China Silk Association, general manager of China Silk Industry Corporation, Qian Youqing, vice chairman and Secretary General of China Silk Association, Zhao Mingxia, director of Industry Department of China Textile Industry Federation, chairman of Guangxi industrial and Information Commission, vice chairman of China Silk Association, chairman of Guangxi silk and silk industry association, chairman of Guangxi bulk cocoon silk trading market Co., Ltd., deputy director of the Institute of sericulture of China Academy of Agricultural Sciences, and 250 leaders, business representatives and academic experts attended and participated in the symposium.

Stable, medium, high, low and high

Yang Yongyuan made a keynote report on the operation of China's cocoon and silk industry. The report reviewed the overall economic performance of China's cocoon and silk industry in 2011, showing five characteristics: a small increase in cocoon production, a steady industrial production, a low consolidation of silk goods exports, an increase in the volume of imports of silk imports and a fall in the price of cocoon silk.

According to the latest data from the National Bureau of statistics on the silk industry in the first quarter of this year, the output of China's main silk products increased slightly. From 1 to March this year, the output of raw silk of 27 thousand enterprises (including tussah silk) in 351 Enterprises above the national scale increased by 13.64% compared with the same period last year; the output of 256 silk and silk fabrics enterprises was 180 million meters, up 11.8% from the same period last year; 75 enterprises silk The output of enterprises was 9 million 800 thousand, an increase of 7.2% over the same period last year. The output of 36 spun silk enterprises was 3624 tons, down 13.56% from the same period last year.

According to customs statistics, China's exports of silk goods have declined in an all-round way: from 1 to March this year, exports of silk products amounted to US $759 million, down 10.78% from the same period last year. The export of silk products was 3886 tons, down 5.01% compared to the same period last year, and the export amount was 149 million US dollars, down 14.21% compared with the same period last year. The unit price decreased by 9.68% compared with the same period last year. The export volume of silk silk fabrics was 46 million 260 thousand meters, down 11.57% compared to the same period last year, the amount was 235 million dollars, a decrease of 1.02% over the same period last year, and the unit price increased by 18.02%. {page_break}

After analyzing the latest data of China's cocoon and silk industry in the first quarter of 2012, Yang Yongyuan pointed out that the opening situation of China's silk products in the first quarter of this year was extremely optimistic, and the volume and amount of exports both showed an overall decline. It is estimated that the production of the silk industry in the whole country is basically flat in 2012, while foreign trade exports are steadily rising, but the growth rate is not large.

"If there are no major natural disasters, I think the price of cocoon silk will be stable at 1600 yuan to 1800 yuan this year. There will be a slight increase in Cocoon Output in the whole country, but the increase of raw silk production will be limited, and the supply and demand will be basically balanced. The price of raw silk is expected to be relatively stable in the first half of this year, which may be better than the first half of the year. " Yang Yongyuan said so.

Strengthen the prevention of the situation

In analyzing the uncertainties that China's cocoon and silk industry may face in 2012, Yang Yongyuan stressed that there are six main points: first, the world economic situation is more complex, and the deeper impact of the global financial crisis has not yet been completely eliminated; two, the increasing competition in international trade and the rise of trade protectionism in various countries; three, the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate has slowed down, but there are still repeated; four, the cost of all kinds of factors has entered a period of concentrated rise, and the pressure on production and operation of enterprises is still relatively large; five, the problem of corporate financing has not yet been effectively solved, and the shortage of liquidity is still the biggest difficulty for enterprise operation; six is the limited growth of raw material production, and the growth of raw material production is limited.

In response to the risk of cocoon silk price fluctuations on enterprises, Yang Yongyuan suggested that the industry should strengthen cocoon production and acquisition management, lay a solid foundation for sericulture production, and actively implement "cocoon production and acquisition management". Silk reeling enterprise The development mode of "base + peasant household" will be the key development direction of cocoon production in the future. Establish cocoon production base through enterprise investment, sign long-term purchase and sale contract with silkworm farmers, provide technical support for silkworm rearing, and implement minimum protection price acquisition and "two rebates" to encourage sericulture production. Second, we should further standardize the market order and avoid the ups and downs of cocoon silk prices. Finally, efforts should be made to increase reserves and maintain stability.